Vehicle Production and use Emit Greenhouse Gases (GHGs)

Lightweight Materials Cause Greenhouse Gas Trade-Off

Standard Approach: Attributional Life Cycle Assessment

Shortcomings of such GHG accounting:

? How to account for metal recycling

? Timing of emissions

? Fleet effects

? How to model consequences of material substitution

(Better) Alternative: Consequential Life Cycle Assessment

Starting Point: Assumed Aluminum Additions to North American Light Vehicle Production

Summary

? Consequential LCAs of automotive material substitution are feasible and insightful

? Results of presented study are still preliminary (need to select probable scenarios from all plausible ones)

? Replacing automotive steel with aluminum will always lead to an initial increase in GHG emissions

? When GHG payback is achieved (an whether) depends on the assumptions in the model, the most important of which are:

? GHG intensity of aluminum production

? GHG consequences of large increase in automotive aluminum scrap